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It is not uncommon to come across punters who enjoy betting draws because the pay is good. A normal argument amongst this lot is "Are draws independent of form? That is, are they random?” In answer to this, there are two mindsets:
However, no matter the mindset these draw punters belong to, they all agree that betting on draws is more profitable than betting on home and away outcomes because the odds are usually more attractive.
When picking winning draws, there are a few factors that need to be looked at:
a) A defensive game play where there is a struggle to attack usually tends to end in a draw.
b) An attacking formation and offensive tactics will most often, not lead to a draw.
a) Is there a scoring problem with the team? And if there is, then why is that? For instance, is a key player injured?
b)Is the team well known for having a tight defense?
c) Could the performance be psychological? For example, maybe after losing a lot throughout the season, a team may try their best to get a draw, for one point.
a)Games where both teams are in a rush to avoid relegation and would be happy with just a point to achieve that. Or in the case where a draw is sufficient to qualify for a cup competition.
b)Matches which take place during less than ideal weather conditions which lead to fewer goals being scored and greater draw chances.
c) Derby matches, where playing a draw would be enough for the parties involved.
d) When the home team is in very good form and the away team as well, occupies an enviable spot on the table.
a) Equal strength.
b) It is possible there exists some sort of psychological effect that makes it hard for one to beat the other.
a) When you observe that a team has been raking in the draws, but then goes through a manager change, it is wise to wait for a few games to see if the trend continues.
b)Always be watchful of newly promoted and relegated teams. Their performance isn't very stable.
c) Take note of teams gradually becoming better and getting a better form as they may be more likely to draw while in the away position.
It has been observed that some leagues have a higher draw rate than others. An explanation for this could be that it is as a result of the competitive nature of the league or an occurrence of match fixing. It is as a result of this that some bookmakers refuse to offer odds on some minor European leagues when the season is coming to an end.
So 2011, Chelsea were playing against Wolves, who would you have supported for the win?
Keep in mind, on one hand, we have, Chelsea who were double winners the previous season. They had access to Roman Abramovic's extensive wealth and a team of superstars whose last names are known everywhere around the world.
On the other hand, we had Wolverhampton Wanderers. They were perennial relegation scrappers who managed not to be at the bottom of the league because, that season, West Ham United managed to be even worse than them.
So seriously, barring current knowledge, who? Chelsea of course.
But then Wolves beat them 1 - 0.
Now, for anyone who followed the English Premier league that season, it would have been clear that after getting beaten by Sunderland, Chelsea began to lose form rather steadily. In time, they were no longer the favorites for the title win and were now fifth on the table. The game against Wolves was the win they needed in order to jump over Tottenham so as to get back into the Champion League places. It wasn't meant to be, sadly.
That is a very good example of just how necessary it is, to examine a team's form before placing a bet. If you are betting on a league you don't usually follow, the need to examine form becomes even more pressing.
One of the easiest ways to check a team's form is to have a look at their most recent performance results. Find out how both teams have performed at their last five games and that should give you a good idea of just what form the teams are in and how to they come out in comparison.
It is also important to find out what went down during the previous games both teams played against each other. There are many teams that, for unknown reasons, have a team that they usually lose to whenever they meet. In 2010, Barcelona was the favorite for the league title and when they played against Rubin Kazan in the group stages, it was a shock to many when they drew the game.
Now, if one had taken a look at the group stage performance from previous years, it may not have been that much of a shock. They drew in the group stages of the 2009 Champion's league and eventually when Rubin Kazan traveled to Camp Nou, they ended up beating Barcelona 2-1.
This just goes to show you that some teams might look like hot stuff based on their name and past performances, but after examining their form, you discover that there is still much left to be desired. Serious betters don't place bets based on past glory. Bets need to be based on the team's recent performance and statistics. Ask the important questions. Is there an injured player or suspended player amongst them? Do they have a new manager after firing the previous one? Has there just been a new expensive singing in the team?
One needs to trust the facts when it comes to football betting while also trusting one's intuition. Don't go in without knowing all the facts. Find out more about tips to improve your betting strategies at http://theprofessionalsyndicate.com/